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Published on 12/20/2017 in the Prospect News Structured Products Daily.

Credit Suisse’s $4 million 12% notes tied to swap rates show reverse convertible on rates

By Emma Trincal

New York, Dec. 20 – Credit Suisse AG, London Branch priced $4 million of 12% coupon buffered securities due Dec. 18, 2018 linked to a the spread between the 30-year U.S. dollar ICE swap rate and the two-year U.S. dollar ICE swap rate, according to a 424B2 filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Interest will be payable monthly.

If the final spread of the 30-year swap rate minus the two-year swap rate is at least 40% of the initial spread, the payout at maturity will be par. Otherwise, investors will lose 2.5% for each 1% the final spread falls by more than 60%.

Not a steepener

“We’ve seen this type of deal before. It’s really not a steepener. You don’t have x times the spread as your floating rate. It’s a fixed rate on one year. Very short term, high coupon...” a market participant said.

The structure was very different from most plays on the yield curve, which tend to show much longer tenors, calls, full principal protection and temporary fixed-rates, also known as “teaser” rates as they are payable for a limited period of time only.

“This is basically a reverse convertible deal on a rate,” he noted.

“You get a high, fixed rate because your entire principal is at risk. It’s a completely different structure. I wouldn’t call it a steepener even though you do want the curve not to flatten.”

Easy drop

The current 30-year swap rate minus the two-year swap rate is at 46 basis points. Investors are at risk when the spread declines by more than 60%, a drop to 18.4 bps from the current spread.

Once the spread hits that buffer level, the losses accelerate at a rate of 2.5 times.

“With that multiple, if the curve flattens you could lose your capital fairly quickly,” he said.

“That’s why the coupon is high.”

Short-term rates

ICE Swap Rates are a benchmark for swap rates and spreads for interest rate swaps.

There are many factors driving those spreads, but historically spreads tend to fall when short-term rates are on the rise, according to the prospectus.

When the Federal Reserve raised rates last week, the Treasury curve continued to flatten as a result with the two-year rate rising while the 30-year dropped.

Risk

“This deal plays the steeper curve, it may look like a steepener but it’s not that type of product. A steepener is when you get paid a certain amount of leverage on the steeper curve. Normally it’s capital-protected.

“This one on the other hand is a reverse convertible on the 30-minus-two. It’s like an equity structure but the underlying is rate.”

An industry source agreed with this analysis.

“It’s a high-risk, high-reward type of deal. I’m not sure I’ve seen something like that before, but you’re definitely at risk. The spread can narrow a lot more if the curve continues to flatten and then you’re in trouble.”

Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC is the underwriter.

The notes (Cusip: 22550BSG9) priced on Dec. 13.

The fee is 4%.


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