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Published on 5/22/2009 in the Prospect News Emerging Markets Daily.

Moody's may cut Kazakhstan banks

Moody's Investors Service said it placed the issuer and deposit ratings of five government-owned Kazakh financial institutions on review for possible downgrade.

The action follows the recent default of Astana Finance, another Kazakh government-related issuer, in which the government holds a 25.5% equity stake. The government has not provided any support to Astana Finance to avoid a default, the agency noted.

The review is likely to result in a closer alignment of the bank's issuer and deposit ratings to their stand-alone financial strength, Moody's said.

House Construction Savings Bank of Kazakhstan's Baa3 long-term local-currency deposit rating and prime-3 short-term local-currency deposit rating were placed on review for possible downgrade. Its local-currency deposit rating benefits from a high probability of systemic support that results in a five-notch uplift from the B2 baseline credit assessment.

Agrarian Credit Corp.'s Baa3 long-term local- and foreign-currency issuer ratings and prime-2 short-term local- and foreign-currency issuer ratings were placed on review for possible downgrade. The issuer ratings benefit from a high probability of systemic support that results in a five-notch uplift.

Development Bank of Kazakhstan's Baa2 long-term local- and foreign-currency issuer ratings were placed on review for possible downgrade. The local-currency issuer rating benefits from a high probability of systemic support that results in a four-notch uplift.

Kazakhstan Mortgage Co.'s Baa3 long-term local-currency issuer rating was placed on review for possible downgrade. The local-currency issuer rating benefits from a high probability of systemic support resulting in a four-notch uplift.

Kazagrofinance's Baa3 long-term local- and foreign-currency issuer ratings and prime-3 short-term local- and foreign-currency issuer ratings were placed on review for possible downgrade. The local-currency issuer rating benefits from a high probability of systemic support that results in a five-notch uplift.


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