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Published on 8/1/2013 in the Prospect News Emerging Markets Daily.

Analysis of emerging markets issuance for 13 months through July 2013

Yield

7/20128/20129/201210/201211/201212/20121/20132/20133/20134/20135/20136/20137/2013
Less than 3%6.0730.6437.2694.7653.6072.8803.8861.2442.1666.5325.0880.2020.497
3%-3.99%9.2471.3067.5914.5536.2961.7377.7544.6637.2776.4396.8930.7884.072
4%-4.99%7.8381.5906.9966.3385.2362.3926.9676.6645.56713.5218.7570.0461.544
5%-5.99%4.6161.0154.4846.6486.1132.2294.0967.7696.5256.1617.1530.6002.941
6%-6.99%3.676 03.2714.0003.3151.1475.7711.4502.1113.9103.3640.5004.922
7%-7.99%0.3501.0001.3931.7901.6000.4501.7481.6100.9812.4470.794 0 0
8%-8.99%0.947 02.0990.9501.7130.2592.8360.2602.2002.0471.0000.3282.000
9%-9.99%3.650 00.7682.5000.5500.4001.0970.4251.0750.3950.5000.2000.200
10% and higher0.1730.1490.8841.3720.7190.5002.0291.0100.4251.1030.3490.0680.200
Floater 00.637 0 0 0 0 00.8720.653 0 0 00.500
NA2.9882.07510.3069.85914.0354.97810.3692.3198.27410.74415.7710.2294.808
Total39.5598.41445.05942.77543.18416.97246.55328.28537.25353.30049.6702.96021.685
Q3/2012Count Q4/2012Count Q1/2013Count Q2/2013Count Q3/2013Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Less than 3%13.9842311.251197.2951311.822200.497119.6153444.8507638.778688.18%
3%-3.99%18.1442212.5871819.6942514.120174.072437.8854668.6168659.3687715.80%
4%-4.99%16.4242613.9672019.1983022.325291.544443.0676373.45810965.6209917.97%
5%-5.99%10.1151414.9902218.3902713.914162.941535.2454860.3508455.7347914.70%
6%-6.99%6.947128.462139.332177.774124.922722.0283637.4376133.761559.19%
7%-7.99%2.74343.84064.33993.2417 007.5801614.1632613.813253.16%
8%-8.99%3.04652.92185.296113.37592.000210.6712216.6383515.691334.45%
9%-9.99%4.41863.45052.59771.09530.20013.8931111.761228.111181.62%
10% and higher1.20762.591103.464131.52170.20015.184218.980378.807362.16%
Floater0.6371 001.5244 000.50012.02452.66262.66260.84%
NA15.3692728.8724020.9634226.744524.808752.51510196.75616893.76716221.91%
Total93.032146102.931161112.091198105.93017221.68533239.707403435.670710396.111658100.00%
Versus Talk
7/20128/20129/201210/201211/201212/20121/20132/20133/20134/20135/20136/20137/2013
Lower6.6661.2452.4778.5933.361 04.1683.8234.9408.4509.456 02.740
Low end9.9030.14916.68510.28212.1620.98716.2134.79413.82221.24320.0990.2593.713
Middle2.8891.0530.8845.6294.1713.5063.4504.9043.8858.4650.6991.1002.620
High end0.496 00.7500.4980.272 01.2500.200 00.755 0 0 0
Higher 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.101 0 0 0 0
NA19.6045.96724.26317.77323.21812.47921.47314.56414.50414.38719.4161.60112.612
Total39.5598.41445.05942.77543.18416.97246.55328.28537.25353.30049.6702.96021.685
Q3/2012Count Q4/2012Count Q1/2013Count Q2/2013Count Q3/2013Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Lower10.3871411.9541812.9321617.906222.740333.5784155.9197349.2536614.01%
Low end26.7383723.4312834.8295341.601503.713480.142107130.311172120.40816133.43%
Middle4.8261013.3072312.2392910.264182.620625.1235343.2568640.3678110.48%
High end1.24620.76921.45030.7552 002.20454.22093.72480.92%
Higher 00 000.1011 00 000.10110.10110.10110.04%
NA49.8358353.4709050.5419635.4058012.6122098.558196201.862369182.25834141.12%
Total93.032146102.931161112.091198105.93017221.68533239.707403435.670710396.111658100.00%
Upsized?
7/20128/20129/201210/201211/201212/20121/20132/20133/20134/20135/20136/20137/2013
Yes2.121 02.644 0 0 00.6001.0000.8750.380 0 0 0
No37.4388.41442.41542.77543.18416.97245.95327.28536.37852.92049.6702.96021.685
Total39.5598.41445.05942.77543.18416.97246.55328.28537.25353.30049.6702.96021.685
Q3/2012Count Q4/2012Count Q1/2013Count Q2/2013Count Q3/2013Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Yes4.7655 002.47540.3801 002.85557.620105.49981.19%
No88.267141102.931161109.616194105.55017121.68533236.852398428.050700390.61265098.81%
Total93.032146102.931161112.091198105.93017221.68533239.707403435.670710396.111658100.00%
Seniority
7/20128/20129/201210/201211/201212/20121/20132/20133/20134/20135/20136/20137/2013
sovereign4.671 09.2199.4298.4433.98410.12510.8181.98610.9986.2840.2593.236
mortgage 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.200 0 0
senior secured 0 0 0 00.5500.6590.6250.7570.5750.5220.365 0 0
senior32.5138.41432.10131.84632.69111.51434.60316.01434.43241.27942.0212.70118.450
subordinated2.375 03.5421.5001.5000.8151.2000.2000.2610.5000.800 0 0
covered bonds 0 00.198 0 0 0 00.497 0 0 0 0 0
Total39.5598.41445.05942.77543.18416.97246.55328.28537.25353.30049.6702.96021.685
Q3/2012Count Q4/2012Count Q1/2013Count Q2/2013Count Q3/2013Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
sovereign13.8901321.8552122.9282117.541183.236343.7054279.4507674.7797218.23%
mortgage 00 00 000.2001 000.20010.20010.20010.08%
senior secured 001.20931.95750.8872 002.84474.052104.052101.19%
senior73.02812576.05213285.04916786.00214918.45030189.501346338.581603306.06855779.06%
subordinated5.91673.81551.66141.3002 002.961612.6921810.317161.24%
covered bonds0.1981 000.4971 00 000.49710.69420.69420.21%
Total93.032146102.931161112.091198105.93017221.68533239.707403435.670710396.111658100.00%
Moody's Rating
7/20128/20129/201210/201211/201212/20121/20132/20133/20134/20135/20136/20137/2013
Aaa2.163 0 0 00.510 0 00.2482.496 01.0000.202 0
Aa1 0 00.399 00.556 0 00.497 00.250 00.080 0
Aa24.000 00.9990.498 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Aa3 01.3662.5211.5586.847 00.9920.4980.4534.8547.138 00.198
A14.154 01.9502.1690.9880.2813.9200.4963.0001.9980.8210.3090.497
A23.920 03.2682.9114.3930.9872.6812.3180.8440.3001.919 01.433
A33.6551.3067.0301.5952.9933.9860.800 0 00.15913.306 01.823
Baa12.7251.2711.0096.3833.990 08.123 04.1473.3780.500 07.970
Baa25.2391.0036.3176.3575.4950.4002.0390.5002.0866.4773.925 0 0
Baa31.5510.3495.5585.0464.6812.2393.0802.2222.7106.7425.659 07.225
Ba1 0 03.5363.2601.2751.5182.8214.9273.5862.8303.960 0 0
Ba2 0 00.2001.650 01.0740.3000.5000.4941.522 0 0 0
Ba31.150 0 01.6971.879 01.300 00.5501.497 0 0 0
B11.3470.1490.5490.7272.000 04.7461.5001.8501.0000.4000.3280.224
B22.000 01.859 00.9690.4500.8420.5251.0810.2750.715 0 0
B3 0 0 0 00.947 00.6053.2712.2531.4970.200 0 0
Caa1 0 01.500 0 0 00.6470.2500.150 0 0 0 0
NR7.6562.9708.3648.9255.6606.03713.65610.53211.55420.52010.1272.0422.316
Total39.5598.41445.05942.77543.18416.97246.55328.28537.25353.30049.6702.96021.685
Q3/2012Count Q4/2012Count Q1/2013Count Q2/2013Count Q3/2013Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Aaa2.16330.51012.74421.2022 003.94646.61984.45651.65%
Aa10.39910.55620.49710.3302 000.82731.78161.78160.35%
Aa24.99930.4981 00 00 00 005.49741.49720.00%
Aa33.88788.405111.943411.993160.198114.1342126.4254026.425405.90%
A16.103113.43887.416103.12970.497111.0431820.5843716.430314.61%
A27.18888.29185.84472.21931.43329.4951224.9752821.055233.96%
A311.990178.574110.800213.464101.823216.0881436.6524232.998376.71%
Baa15.005910.373912.270153.87837.9701024.1172839.4964636.7714310.06%
Baa212.5581612.252164.625810.40213 0015.0272139.8375334.599476.27%
Baa37.4581411.967158.0121512.401177.2251027.6384247.0637145.5116811.53%
Ba13.53656.0531111.334126.7897 0018.1231927.7123527.712357.56%
Ba20.20012.72461.29441.5222 002.81665.740135.740131.17%
Ba31.15033.57581.85051.4974 003.34798.073206.923171.40%
B12.04552.72768.096151.72840.224110.0482014.8203113.473294.19%
B23.85961.41942.44880.9903 003.438118.717216.717201.43%
B3 000.94726.129121.6974 007.826168.774188.774183.26%
Caa11.5001 001.0474 00 001.04742.54752.54750.44%
NR18.9903520.6224235.7427432.689752.316670.747155110.359232102.70321929.51%
Total93.032146102.931161112.091198105.93017221.68533239.707403435.670710396.111658100.00%
Use of Proceeds
7/20128/20129/201210/201211/201212/20121/20132/20133/20134/20135/20136/20137/2013
Acquisition 0 00.6000.4001.489 0 00.450 0 0 0 0 0
Capex 0 00.7920.9932.9251.0941.800 00.2611.07910.932 00.986
Dividend/recap 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.225 0 0 0 0 0
GCP12.7601.89613.8898.0696.2191.56615.4205.1316.6327.2791.798 05.440
Redeem notes 0 0 0 00.709 01.0002.3880.6050.7430.848 01.474
Refinance0.347 03.3460.9170.5601.9974.8311.8223.4912.9680.095 0 0
Repay bank debt2.566 0 01.500 00.1221.1250.3000.5030.7874.555 00.180
Multiple/Other/NA23.8866.51826.43130.89631.28212.19322.37717.97025.76140.44531.4412.96013.606
Total39.5598.41445.05942.77543.18416.97246.55328.28537.25353.30049.6702.96021.685
Q3/2012Count Q4/2012Count Q1/2013Count Q2/2013Count Q3/2013Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Acquisition0.60011.88930.4501 00 000.45012.93952.93950.19%
Capex0.79215.01382.061512.011100.986215.0571720.8622620.862266.28%
Dividend/recap 00 000.2251 00 000.22510.22510.22510.09%
GCP28.5464115.8531827.183339.077155.440741.7005586.10011473.3399817.40%
Redeem notes 000.70923.99371.59141.47427.057137.766157.766152.94%
Refinance3.69393.474610.144243.0636 0013.2063020.3744520.027445.51%
Repay bank debt2.56641.62221.92845.34260.18017.4501111.638179.072133.11%
Multiple/Other/NA56.8359074.37112266.10812374.84613113.60621154.561275285.766487261.88145664.48%
Total93.032146102.931161112.091198105.93017221.68533239.707403435.670710396.111658100.00%
Industry Sector (by SIC code)
7/20128/20129/201210/201211/201212/20121/20132/20133/20134/20135/20136/20137/2013
Agriculture (0xxx)0.322 0 0 00.272 01.091 01.0250.6701.182 0 0
Communications (48xx)5.178 02.5421.195 02.4461.4333.3222.7951.0460.500 01.433
Construction (15xx)0.347 00.3500.4980.997 00.499 00.4981.1970.348 0 0
Electric, gas, sanitary services (49xx)1.1950.1491.2373.3180.4000.5000.8321.0004.3680.9463.1531.5493.212
Finance, insurance, real estate (6xxx)18.6955.13519.90820.21919.7766.45017.8018.58114.6209.91412.3511.1522.111
Government (91xx) 0 00.600 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Health services (8xxx) 0 0 0 0 0 00.500 0 0 0 0 0 0
Manufacturing (2xxx, 3xxx)0.2540.5385.2513.4492.1270.5945.3343.1575.6498.2083.502 00.604
Mining (1xxx)3.652 01.4880.993 0 00.998 00.3502.9000.500 01.250
Oil and gas (13xx)2.7250.9933.2711.6064.2501.0003.9940.5233.52912.84118.207 06.359
Pharmaceuticals (2834-6) 0 0 0 00.3001.997 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Services (7xxx)0.1910.5990.4980.4202.532 02.251 0 00.3800.699 02.496
Sovereign (8888)4.6711.0009.2199.4299.1863.98410.12510.8181.98611.9996.2840.2594.221
Transportation (4xxx)2.156 0 01.3512.154 01.3450.1971.3902.2021.800 0 0
Wholesale (5xxx)0.173 00.6950.2981.189 00.3500.6881.0430.9951.144 0 0
Total39.5598.41445.05942.77543.18416.97246.55328.28537.25353.30049.6702.96021.685
Q3/2012Count Q4/2012Count Q1/2013Count Q2/2013Count Q3/2013Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Agriculture (0xxx)0.32210.27212.11641.8525 003.96894.562114.240101.66%
Communications (48xx)7.720103.64187.549141.54631.433210.5281921.8903716.712314.39%
Construction (15xx)0.69721.49530.99721.5464 002.54264.734114.387101.06%
Electric, gas, sanitary services (49xx)2.58254.21886.201115.647123.212715.0603021.8594320.664416.28%
Finance, insurance, real estate (6xxx)43.7388046.4458441.0028923.417552.111466.530148156.713312138.01828727.75%
Government (91xx)0.6001 00 00 00 00 000.60010.60010.00%
Health services (8xxx) 00 000.5001 00 000.50010.50010.50010.21%
Manufacturing (2xxx, 3xxx)6.043126.171914.1402811.710230.604326.4535438.6677538.4137411.04%
Mining (1xxx)5.14050.99311.34833.40051.25015.998912.132158.480112.50%
Oil and gas (13xx)6.98976.85678.0471031.049286.359745.4544559.2995956.5755618.96%
Pharmaceuticals (2834-6) 002.2973 00 00 00 002.29732.29730.00%
Services (7xxx)1.28732.95262.25141.07942.49645.8261210.066219.875202.43%
Sovereign (8888)14.8901422.5992222.9282118.542204.221545.6924683.1808278.5097819.06%
Transportation (4xxx)2.15633.50672.93264.0028 006.9341412.5962410.440212.89%
Wholesale (5xxx)0.86831.48622.08152.1395 004.220106.575156.401141.76%
Total93.032146102.931161112.091198105.93017221.68533239.707403435.670710396.111658100.00%
Country
7/20128/20129/201210/201211/201212/20121/20132/20133/20134/20135/20136/20137/2013
Africa2.3831.0000.736 01.5011.480 01.2360.5750.5521.5400.2024.978
Asia8.0274.36015.3069.46213.1751.73921.5303.75517.31219.02918.6080.5294.286
Caribbean 0 01.500 00.850 0 01.0000.3001.0000.200 0 0
Emerging Europe1.5530.7426.5538.7724.1361.7332.8308.8632.2001.3096.1780.305 0
Latin America11.3820.50015.4849.7269.7080.75011.8243.3393.6078.43814.956 07.620
Middle East6.2310.8282.8386.6636.8569.0207.6692.8666.9856.0194.8381.3292.620
Russia, CIS9.9830.9852.6438.1516.9582.2502.7007.2266.27516.9543.3500.5962.181
Total39.5598.41445.05942.77543.18416.97246.55328.28537.25353.30049.6702.96021.685
Q3/2012Count Q4/2012Count Q1/2013Count Q2/2013Count Q3/2013Count YTDCount TotalCountLast 12 monthsCountYTD Share
Africa4.11962.98141.81142.29374.97879.0821816.1822813.799243.79%
Asia27.6925724.3755342.5979438.166634.286985.050166137.117276129.09026235.48%
Caribbean1.50010.85021.30021.2002 002.50044.85074.85071.04%
Emerging Europe8.8481314.6411413.893187.79217 0021.6853545.1746243.621609.05%
Latin America27.3663820.1843218.7703323.395317.6201049.7857497.33514485.95313020.77%
Middle East9.8971122.5393317.5202312.186232.620432.3255064.7619458.5308813.49%
Russia, CIS13.6102017.3602316.2012420.899292.181339.2815670.2519960.2688716.39%
Total93.032146102.931161112.091198105.93017221.68533239.707403435.670710396.111658100.00%
Currency
7/20128/20129/201210/201211/201212/20121/20132/20133/20134/20135/20136/20137/2013
$32.3807.67239.47336.03837.67216.59143.72323.10434.14846.26644.1342.46118.158
CHF0.3580.1050.188 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
RMB 0 00.253 0 0 0 00.160 0 0 0 0 0
Y0.191 00.3150.1270.8230.122 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5.4780.6374.1196.6094.6890.2592.8305.0212.6537.0335.5360.4993.074
£1.153 00.712 0 0 0 0 00.453 0 0 00.453
Total39.5598.41445.05942.77543.18416.97246.55328.28537.25353.30049.6702.96021.685
Q3/2012Count Q4/2012Count Q1/2013Count Q2/2013Count Q3/2013Count YTDCount TotalCount Last 12 monthsCountYTD Share
$79.52512590.302146100.97518092.86215418.15829211.996363381.823634349.44359188.44%
CHF0.6513 00 00 00 00 000.65130.29320.00%
RMB0.2532 000.1601 00 000.16010.41330.41330.07%
Y0.50621.0724 00 00 00 001.57861.38650.00%
10.2331211.5571110.5031613.068183.074326.6453748.4356042.9585411.12%
£1.8642 000.4531 000.45310.90622.77041.61830.38%
Total93.032146102.931161112.091198105.93017221.68533239.707403435.670710396.111658100.00%
Criteria

• The tables include all underwritten offerings sold in the international bond markets reported to Prospect News.

• Offerings are included in the time period in which they price (or settle if pricing date not available).

• Amounts are based on the total sales price (face amount multiplied by the offering price). The full amount is credited to the bookrunner (or lead manager if no bookrunners). For multiple bookrunners (or lead managers), the total value is divided equally among all the firms.

• Each tranche is counted as a separate deal.

• Units made up of a bond and a warrant are included; other units are excluded.

• Best efforts and non-underwritten deals are excluded.

• Non-dollar deals are converted to dollars at the rate shown in Federal Reserve's H.10 release on day of pricing.

• Emerging markets are all countries except: United States, Canada, United Kingdom, Germany, France, Italy, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Netherlands, Ireland, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Spain, Portugal, Switzerland, Luxembourg, Austria, Belgium, Finland, Iceland and Greece.


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