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Published on 3/2/2009 in the Prospect News Emerging Markets Daily.

Analysis of emerging markets issuance for 12 months through February 2009

Yield

3/20084/20085/20086/20087/20088/20089/200810/200811/200812/20081/20092/2009
Less than 5% 00.1170.2380.768 0 00.104 00.210 0 0 0
5%-5.99% 00.2990.8491.257 00.206 0 0 01.996 0 0
6%-6.99% 00.4962.0092.6512.3430.011 0 0 0 01.0061.491
7%-7.99%0.2490.8113.3431.9431.699 01.494 0 0 02.591 0
8%-8.99% 02.0500.7534.7391.6500.497 0 0 0 05.4461.474
9% and higher 02.0450.6942.8362.5500.3300.804 0 0 00.4962.981
Floater0.510 00.3070.1550.1470.174 0 0 00.017 00.998
NA0.1007.6331.3719.3800.1071.363 0 0 0 05.593 0
Total0.85913.4519.56523.7298.4962.5802.402 00.2102.01215.1336.943
Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count Q4/2008Count Q1/2009Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Less than 5%1.12360.10410.2101 00 001.43780.00%
5%-5.99%2.40660.20621.9961 00 004.60790.00%
6%-6.99%5.157102.3544 002.49732.497310.0081711.31%
7%-7.99%6.097123.1935 002.59132.591312.1322111.74%
8%-8.99%7.54292.1472 006.92046.920416.6091531.35%
9% and higher5.575103.68411 003.47733.477312.7342415.76%
Floater0.46140.32130.01710.99810.99812.307124.52%
NA18.384221.4714 005.59345.593425.5483125.34%
Total46.7457913.479322.222322.0761822.0761885.381137100.00%
Versus Talk
3/20084/20085/20086/20087/20088/20089/200810/200811/200812/20081/20092/2009
Lower 01.7991.2132.3230.400 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Low end 00.8963.6103.201 0 00.225 0 0 05.7731.474
Middle 04.2041.0966.8984.3920.4971.494 0 0 03.4542.980
High end 0 00.2963.476 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Higher 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01.992 0
NA0.8596.5513.3507.8323.7042.0840.683 00.2102.0123.9142.489
Total0.85913.4519.56523.7298.4962.5802.402 00.2102.01215.1336.943
Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count Q4/2008Count Q1/2009Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Lower5.33570.4001 00 00 005.73580.00%
Low end7.707110.2251 007.24777.247715.1791932.83%
Middle12.198176.3838 006.43446.434425.0152929.14%
High end3.7725 00 00 00 003.77250.00%
Higher 00 00 001.99211.99211.99219.02%
NA17.733396.471222.22236.40366.403633.6887529.00%
Total46.7457913.479322.222322.0761822.0761885.381137100.00%
Upsized?
3/20084/20085/20086/20087/20088/20089/200810/200811/200812/20081/20092/2009
Yes 00.8910.6603.3810.950 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
No0.85912.5608.75420.3487.5462.5802.402 00.2102.01215.1336.943
Downsized 0 00.150 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total0.85913.4519.56523.7298.4962.5802.402 00.2102.01215.1336.943
Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count Q4/2008Count Q1/2009Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Yes4.932100.9502 00 00 005.882120.00%
No41.6626812.529302.222322.0761822.0761879.349124100.00%
Downsized0.1501 00 00 00 000.15010.00%
Total46.7457913.479322.222322.0761822.0761885.381137100.00%
Seniority
3/20084/20085/20086/20087/20088/20089/200810/200811/200812/20081/20092/2009
sovereign0.4505.4510.55012.853 00.4971.494 0 01.9965.7734.471
senior secured 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.496 0
senior0.4098.0009.01410.8768.4192.0840.270 00.2100.0178.8642.472
subordinated 0 0 0 00.077 00.638 0 0 0 0 0
Total0.85913.4519.56523.7298.4962.5802.402 00.2102.01215.1336.943
Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count Q4/2008Count Q1/2009Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
sovereign18.854171.99121.996110.244910.244933.5353146.40%
senior secured 00 00 000.49610.49610.49612.25%
senior27.8916210.772260.226211.336811.336850.63510151.35%
subordinated 000.7164 00 00 000.71640.00%
Total46.7457913.479322.222322.0761822.0761885.381137100.00%
Moody's Rating
3/20084/20085/20086/20087/20088/20089/200810/200811/200812/20081/20092/2009
Aaa 0 0 0 0 01.244 0 0 0 00.9970.998
Aa2 0 0 0 01.499 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Aa3 00.6511.5550.155 00.292 0 0 0 03.975 0
A1 00.299 03.0830.993 0 0 0 0 00.600 0
A2 00.3510.2997.4432.2500.196 0 00.210 01.288 0
A3 01.9961.8000.3390.5470.0210.225 0 0 0 0 0
Baa1 0 00.4964.778 0 0 0 0 01.996 02.966
Baa2 0 01.9980.9430.077 0 0 0 0 02.462 0
Baa3 00.495 01.151 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ba10.2490.1101.5461.982 0 0 0 0 0 01.997 0
Ba2 02.0000.701 01.500 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ba3 01.600 02.6280.6000.2501.494 0 0 01.0002.980
B1 0 0 00.341 0 0 0 0 0 01.487 0
B2 0 0 00.149 0 00.166 0 0 0 0 0
B3 0 0 00.1100.0300.497 0 0 0 0 0 0
NR0.6105.9501.1690.6291.0000.0800.517 0 00.0171.326 0
Total0.85913.4519.56523.7298.4962.5802.402 00.2102.01215.1336.943
Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count Q4/2008Count Q1/2009Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Aaa 001.2441 001.99421.99423.23939.03%
Aa2 001.4992 00 00 001.49920.00%
Aa32.36180.2922 003.97523.97526.6291218.01%
A13.38220.9931 000.60010.60014.97542.72%
A28.09272.44630.21011.28811.288112.036125.83%
A34.13590.7945 00 00 004.929140.00%
Baa15.2746 001.99612.96622.966210.235913.44%
Baa22.94150.0771 002.46222.46225.481811.15%
Baa31.6452 00 00 00 001.64520.00%
Ba13.63810 00 001.99731.99735.884149.05%
Ba22.70151.5002 00 00 004.20170.00%
Ba34.22962.3444 003.98033.980310.5531318.03%
B10.3411 00 001.48711.48711.82926.74%
B20.14910.1661 00 00 000.31520.00%
B30.11010.5272 00 00 000.63730.00%
NR7.747161.59780.01711.32611.326111.296306.01%
Total46.7457913.479322.222322.0761822.0761885.381137100.00%
Use of Proceeds
3/20084/20085/20086/20087/20088/20089/200810/200811/200812/20081/20092/2009
Capex 00.298 01.500 0 00.166 0 0 00.496 0
GCP0.2494.0022.1534.6692.2501.2441.823 0 01.99610.4262.966
Refinance 0 02.3420.1492.449 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Multiple/Other/NA0.6109.1505.07017.4113.7981.3360.413 00.2100.0174.2113.978
Total0.85913.4519.56523.7298.4962.5802.402 00.2102.01215.1336.943
Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count Q4/2008Count Q1/2009Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Capex1.79830.1661 000.49610.49612.46052.25%
GCP10.825185.31861.996113.3921013.3921031.7793660.66%
Refinance2.49162.4495 00 00 004.939110.00%
Multiple/Other/NA31.631525.547200.22628.18878.188746.2028537.09%
Total46.7457913.479322.222322.0761822.0761885.381137100.00%
Industry Sector (by SIC code)
3/20084/20085/20086/20087/20088/20089/200810/200811/200812/20081/20092/2009
Africa 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.997 0
Asia Banks 01.0012.2010.9220.2251.5580.225 0 00.0173.9750.998
Asia Corporates0.1601.0940.2992.6901.3430.1960.517 00.210 0 0 0
Asia Sovereigns 0 0 02.131 0 0 0 0 0 01.4872.980
Caribbean0.100 0 00.341 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Emerging Europe Sovereigns 00.351 09.626 0 0 0 0 0 02.614 0
Latin America Banks0.2490.1101.0990.1250.100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Latin America Corporates 00.2012.1121.649 0 00.166 0 0 02.5661.474
Latin America Sovereigns 04.6000.5500.257 0 0 0 0 01.9961.9971.491
Middle East Corporates 0 00.998 01.499 0 0 0 0 00.496 0
Middle East Sovereigns0.350 0 00.497 00.4971.494 0 0 01.000 0
Russia, CIS Banks 00.4951.7502.5100.7300.330 0 0 0 0 0 0
Russia, CIS Corporates 05.1000.5552.9804.600 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Russia, CIS Sovereigns 00.500 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total0.85913.4519.56523.7298.4962.5802.402 00.2102.01215.1336.943
Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count Q4/2008Count Q1/2009Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Africa 00 00 000.99710.99710.99714.52%
Asia Banks4.125172.00890.01714.97334.973311.1233022.53%
Asia Corporates4.083122.05660.2101 00 006.508210.00%
Asia Sovereigns2.1313 00 004.46734.46736.598620.23%
Caribbean0.3411 00 00 00 000.44120.00%
Emerging Europe Sovereigns9.9776 00 002.61422.614212.591811.84%
Latin America Banks1.33440.1001 00 00 001.68360.00%
Latin America Corporates3.961100.1661 004.04134.04138.1681418.30%
Latin America Sovereigns5.4085 001.99613.48943.489410.8921015.80%
Middle East Corporates0.99811.4992 000.49610.49612.99342.25%
Middle East Sovereigns0.49711.9912 001.00011.00013.83954.53%
Russia, CIS Banks4.75571.0605 00 00 005.815120.00%
Russia, CIS Corporates8.635114.6006 00 00 0013.235170.00%
Russia, CIS Sovereigns0.5001 00 00 00 000.50010.00%
Total46.7457913.479322.222322.0761822.0761885.381137100.00%
Currency
3/20084/20085/20086/20087/20088/20089/200810/200811/200812/20081/20092/2009
$0.85912.0998.01311.6318.4492.2672.299 0 01.99612.5196.943
CHF 01.002 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Y 00.3500.2380.768 00.2920.104 00.2100.017 0 0
0 01.31311.3310.0470.010 0 0 0 02.614 0
£ 0 0 0 0 00.011 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total0.85913.4519.56523.7298.4962.5802.402 00.2102.01215.1336.943
Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count Q4/2008Count Q1/2009Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
$31.7435813.014261.996119.4621619.4621667.07410688.16%
CHF1.0025 00 00 00 001.00250.00%
Y1.35680.39630.2262 00 001.979130.00%
12.64480.0572 002.61422.614215.3151211.84%
£ 000.0111 00 00 000.01110.00%
Total46.7457913.479322.222322.0761822.0761885.381137100.00%
Criteria

• The tables include all underwritten offerings sold in the international bond markets reported to Prospect News.

• Offerings are included in the time period in which they price (or settle if pricing date not available).

• Amounts are based on the total sales price (face amount multiplied by the offering price). The full amount is credited to the bookrunner (or lead manager if no bookrunners). For multiple bookrunners (or lead managers), the total value is divided equally among all the firms.

• Each tranche is counted as a separate deal.

• Units made up of a bond and a warrant are included; other units are excluded.

• Best efforts and non-underwritten deals are excluded.

• Non-dollar deals are converted to dollars at the rate shown in Federal Reserve's H.10 release on day of pricing.

• Emerging markets are all countries except: United States, Canada, United Kingdom, Germany, France, Italy, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Netherlands, Ireland, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Spain, Portugal, Switzerland, Luxembourg, Austria, Belgium, Finland, Iceland and Greece.


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