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Published on 1/2/2009 in the Prospect News Emerging Markets Daily.

Analysis of emerging markets issuance for 12 months through December 2008

Yield

1/20082/20083/20084/20085/20086/20087/20088/20089/200810/200811/200812/2008
Less than 5%0.393 0 00.1170.2380.768 0 00.104 00.210 0
5%-5.99%1.749 0 00.2990.8491.257 00.206 0 0 01.996
6%-6.99%2.8260.113 00.4962.0092.6512.3430.011 0 0 0 0
7%-7.99%1.0001.1150.2490.8113.3431.9431.699 01.494 0 0 0
8%-8.99% 0 0 02.0500.7534.7391.6500.497 0 0 0 0
9% and higher0.100 0 02.0450.6942.8362.5500.3300.804 0 0 0
Floater 0 00.510 00.3070.1550.1470.174 0 0 00.017
NA4.2250.8970.1007.6331.3719.3800.1071.363 0 0 0 0
Total10.2942.1250.85913.4519.56523.7298.4962.5802.402 00.2102.012
Q1/2008Count Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count Q4/2008Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Less than 5%0.39311.12360.10410.21011.83091.83092.42%
5%-5.99%1.74922.40660.20621.99616.356116.356118.39%
6%-6.99%2.94065.157102.3544 0010.4502010.4502013.80%
7%-7.99%2.36446.097123.1935 0011.6552111.6552115.39%
8%-8.99% 007.54292.1472 009.689119.6891112.80%
9% and higher0.10015.575103.68411 009.359229.3592212.36%
Floater0.51030.46140.32130.01711.309111.309111.73%
NA5.2221018.384221.4714 0025.0763625.0763633.11%
Total13.2782746.7457913.479322.222375.72414175.724141100.00%
Versus Talk
1/20082/20083/20084/20085/20086/20087/20088/20089/200810/200811/200812/2008
Lower0.3970.100 01.7991.2132.3230.400 0 0 0 0 0
Low end1.4990.298 00.8963.6103.201 0 00.225 0 0 0
Middle4.3700.965 04.2041.0966.8984.3920.4971.494 0 0 0
High end 0 0 0 00.2963.476 0 0 0 0 0 0
NA4.0280.7620.8596.5513.3507.8323.7042.0840.683 00.2102.012
Total10.2942.1250.85913.4519.56523.7298.4962.5802.402 00.2102.012
Q1/2008Count Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count Q4/2008Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Lower0.49625.33570.4001 006.231106.231108.23%
Low end1.79727.707110.2251 009.730149.7301412.85%
Middle5.334712.198176.3838 0023.9153223.9153231.58%
High end 003.7725 00 003.77253.77254.98%
NA5.6501617.733396.471222.222332.0768032.0768042.36%
Total13.2782746.7457913.479322.222375.72414175.724141100.00%
Upsized?
1/20082/20083/20084/20085/20086/20087/20088/20089/200810/200811/200812/2008
Yes 00.113 00.8910.6603.3810.950 0 0 0 0 0
No10.2942.0120.85912.5608.75420.3487.5462.5802.402 00.2102.012
Downsized 0 0 0 00.150 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total10.2942.1250.85913.4519.56523.7298.4962.5802.402 00.2102.012
Q1/2008Count Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count Q4/2008Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Yes0.11314.932100.9502 005.996135.996137.92%
No13.1652641.6626812.529302.222369.57812769.57812791.88%
Downsized 000.1501 00 000.15010.15010.20%
Total13.2782746.7457913.479322.222375.72414175.724141100.00%
Seniority
1/20082/20083/20084/20085/20086/20087/20088/20089/200810/200811/200812/2008
sovereign6.1140.9650.4505.4510.55012.853 00.4971.494 0 01.996
secured0.250 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
senior3.8301.1600.4098.0009.01410.8768.4192.0840.270 00.2100.017
subordinated0.100 0 0 0 0 00.077 00.638 0 0 0
Total10.2942.1250.85913.4519.56523.7298.4962.5802.402 00.2102.012
Q1/2008Count Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count Q4/2008Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
sovereign7.5281018.854171.99121.996130.3693030.3693040.10%
secured0.2501 00 00 000.25010.25010.33%
senior5.4001527.8916210.772260.226244.28910544.28910558.49%
subordinated0.1001 000.7164 000.81650.81651.08%
Total13.2782746.7457913.479322.222375.72414175.724141100.00%
Moody's Rating
1/20082/20083/20084/20085/20086/20087/20088/20089/200810/200811/200812/2008
Aaa0.9990.499 0 0 0 0 01.244 0 0 0 0
Aa2 0 0 0 0 0 01.499 0 0 0 0 0
Aa30.999 0 00.6511.5550.155 00.292 0 0 0 0
A10.2450.298 00.299 03.0830.993 0 0 0 0 0
A2 0 0 00.3510.2997.4432.2500.196 0 00.210 0
A3 0 0 01.9961.8000.3390.5470.0210.225 0 0 0
Baa13.347 0 0 00.4964.778 0 0 0 0 01.996
Baa20.440 0 0 01.9980.9430.077 0 0 0 0 0
Baa30.397 0 00.495 01.151 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ba1 00.1000.2490.1101.5461.982 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ba2 0 0 02.0000.701 01.500 0 0 0 0 0
Ba33.0280.965 01.600 02.6280.6000.2501.494 0 0 0
B10.590 0 0 0 00.341 0 0 0 0 0 0
B2 0 0 0 0 00.149 0 00.166 0 0 0
B3 0 0 0 0 00.1100.0300.497 0 0 0 0
NR0.2500.2630.6105.9501.1690.6291.0000.0800.517 0 00.017
Total10.2942.1250.85913.4519.56523.7298.4962.5802.402 00.2102.012
Q1/2008Count Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count Q4/2008Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Aaa1.4982 001.2441 002.74332.74333.62%
Aa2 00 001.4992 001.49921.49921.98%
Aa30.99912.36180.2922 003.652113.652114.82%
A10.54323.38220.9931 004.91854.91856.49%
A2 008.09272.44630.210110.7481110.7481114.19%
A3 004.13590.7945 004.929144.929146.51%
Baa13.34745.2746 001.996110.6161110.6161114.02%
Baa20.44022.94150.0771 003.45983.45984.57%
Baa30.39711.6452 00 002.04232.04232.70%
Ba10.34923.63810 00 003.987123.987125.27%
Ba2 002.70151.5002 004.20174.20175.55%
Ba33.99344.22962.3444 0010.5661410.5661413.95%
B10.59020.3411 00 000.93130.93131.23%
B2 000.14910.1661 000.31520.31520.42%
B3 000.11010.5272 000.63730.63730.84%
NR1.12377.747161.59780.017110.4833210.4833213.84%
Total13.2782746.7457913.479322.222375.72414175.724141100.00%
Use of Proceeds
1/20082/20083/20084/20085/20086/20087/20088/20089/200810/200811/200812/2008
Capex 0 0 00.298 01.500 0 00.166 0 0 0
GCP5.6141.0780.2494.0022.1534.6692.2501.2441.823 0 0 0
Refinance0.100 0 0 02.3420.1492.449 0 0 0 0 0
Multiple/Other/NA4.5801.0470.6109.1505.07017.4113.7981.3360.413 00.2102.012
Total10.2942.1250.85913.4519.56523.7298.4962.5802.402 00.2102.012
Q1/2008Count Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count Q4/2008Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Capex 001.79830.1661 001.96541.96542.59%
GCP6.9411110.825185.3186 0023.0833523.0833530.48%
Refinance0.10012.49162.4495 005.039125.039126.65%
Multiple/Other/NA6.2371531.631525.547202.222345.6379045.6379060.27%
Total13.2782746.7457913.479322.222375.72414175.724141100.00%
Industry Sector (by SIC code)
1/20082/20083/20084/20085/20086/20087/20088/20089/200810/200811/200812/2008
Africa 00.499 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Asia Banks2.438 0 01.0012.2010.9220.2251.5580.225 0 00.017
Asia Corporates 00.2980.1601.0940.2992.6901.3430.1960.517 00.210 0
Asia Sovereigns2.485 0 0 0 02.131 0 0 0 0 0 0
Caribbean 0 00.100 0 00.341 0 0 0 0 0 0
Emerging Europe Sovereigns 0 0 00.351 09.626 0 0 0 0 0 0
Latin America Banks0.2450.1000.2490.1101.0990.1250.100 0 0 0 0 0
Latin America Corporates1.147 0 00.2012.1121.649 0 00.166 0 0 0
Latin America Sovereigns2.596 0 04.6000.5500.257 0 0 0 0 01.996
Middle East Banks 00.150 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Middle East Corporates0.250 0 0 00.998 01.499 0 0 0 0 0
Middle East Sovereigns1.0330.9650.350 0 00.497 00.4971.494 0 0 0
Russia, CIS Banks0.1000.113 00.4951.7502.5100.7300.330 0 0 0 0
Russia, CIS Corporates 0 0 05.1000.5552.9804.600 0 0 0 0 0
Russia, CIS Sovereigns 0 0 00.500 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total10.2942.1250.85913.4519.56523.7298.4962.5802.402 00.2102.012
Q1/2008Count Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count Q4/2008Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Africa0.4991 00 00 000.49910.49910.66%
Asia Banks2.43844.125172.00890.01718.587318.5873111.34%
Asia Corporates0.45834.083122.05660.21016.806226.806228.99%
Asia Sovereigns2.48532.1313 00 004.61664.61666.10%
Caribbean0.10010.3411 00 000.44120.44120.58%
Emerging Europe Sovereigns 009.9776 00 009.97769.977613.18%
Latin America Banks0.59431.33440.1001 002.02782.02782.68%
Latin America Corporates1.14723.961100.1661 005.275135.275136.97%
Latin America Sovereigns2.59635.4085 001.99619.99999.999913.20%
Middle East Banks0.1501 00 00 000.15010.15010.20%
Middle East Corporates0.25010.99811.4992 002.74742.74743.63%
Middle East Sovereigns2.34830.49711.9912 004.83764.83766.39%
Russia, CIS Banks0.21324.75571.0605 006.028146.028147.96%
Russia, CIS Corporates 008.635114.6006 0013.2351713.2351717.48%
Russia, CIS Sovereigns 000.5001 00 000.50010.50010.66%
Total13.2782746.7457913.479322.222375.72414175.724141100.00%
Currency
1/20082/20083/20084/20085/20086/20087/20088/20089/200810/200811/200812/2008
$9.8542.0120.85912.0998.01311.6318.4492.2672.299 0 01.996
CHF 00.113 01.002 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Y0.440 0 00.3500.2380.768 00.2920.104 00.2100.017
0 0 0 01.31311.3310.0470.010 0 0 0 0
£ 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.011 0 0 0 0
Total10.2942.1250.85913.4519.56523.7298.4962.5802.402 00.2102.012
Q1/2008Count Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count Q4/2008Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
$12.7252431.7435813.014261.996159.47810959.47810978.55%
CHF0.11311.0025 00 001.11561.11561.47%
Y0.44021.35680.39630.22622.419152.419153.19%
0012.64480.0572 0012.7011012.7011016.77%
£ 00 000.0111 000.01110.01110.01%
Total13.2782746.7457913.479322.222375.72414175.724141100.00%
Criteria

• The tables include all underwritten offerings sold in the international bond markets reported to Prospect News.

• Offerings are included in the time period in which they price (or settle if pricing date not available).

• Amounts are based on the total sales price (face amount multiplied by the offering price). The full amount is credited to the bookrunner (or lead manager if no bookrunners). For multiple bookrunners (or lead managers), the total value is divided equally among all the firms.

• Each tranche is counted as a separate deal.

• Units made up of a bond and a warrant are included; other units are excluded.

• Best efforts and non-underwritten deals are excluded.

• Non-dollar deals are converted to dollars at the rate shown in Federal Reserve's H.10 release on day of pricing.

• Emerging markets are all countries except: United States, Canada, United Kingdom, Germany, France, Italy, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Netherlands, Ireland, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Spain, Portugal, Switzerland, Luxembourg, Belgium, Iceland and Greece.


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