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Published on 2/13/2018 in the Prospect News Emerging Markets Daily.

Moody’s downgrades Kenya to B2

Moody's Investors Service said it downgraded the issuer rating of the Government of Kenya to B2 from B1 and assigned a stable outlook.

This concludes the review for downgrade that began on Oct. 2.

Moody’s said the drivers of the downgrade relate to an erosion of fiscal metrics and rising liquidity risks that point to overall credit metrics consistent with a B2 rating.

“The fiscal outlook is weakening with a rise in debt levels and deterioration in debt affordability that Moody's expects to continue,” the agency said in a news release.

“In turn, large gross financing needs and reliance on commercial external debt will maintain government liquidity pressures.

“While the government aims to improve the efficiency of spending and revenues, such measures are unlikely to be effective enough to stem a weakening in fiscal trends, Moody’s added in the release.

Concurrently, Moody's lowered the long-term foreign-currency bond ceiling to Ba3 from Ba2, long-term foreign-currency deposit ceiling to B3 from B2 and long-term local-currency bond and deposit ceilings to Ba2 from Ba1.


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