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Published on 1/21/2020 in the Prospect News Emerging Markets Daily.

Moody’s downgrades Hong Kong, view to stable.

Moody’s Investors Service said it downgraded the long-term issuer and senior unsecured ratings of the government of Hong Kong to Aa3 from Aa2 and changed the outlook to stable from negative.

The downgrade principally reflects Moody’s view Hong Kong’s institutions and governance strength is lower than previously estimated. The absence of tangible plans to address either the political or economic and social concerns of the Hong Kong population that have come to the fore in the past nine months may reflect weaker inherent institutional capacity than Moody’s had previously assessed.

The stable outlook at Aa3 reflects superior fiscal strength and consistent macroeconomic stability, which Moody’s expects to persist through a period of heightened uncertainty about political and social developments associated with weak or negative GDP growth.

Moody’s also downgraded the senior unsecured foreign currency ratings of the trust certificates issued by Hong Kong Sukuk 2015 Ltd., a special purpose vehicle established by the government of Hong Kong, to Aa3 from Aa2. The payment obligations associated with these certificates are direct obligations of the government and rank pari passu with other senior unsecured debt of the government.

Hong Kong’s long-term foreign-currency bond ceiling and the local currency bond ceilings remain unchanged at Aaa.


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