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Published on 2/1/2024 in the Prospect News Distressed Debt Daily.

AMC paper jumps on default downgrade; Ardagh pressured; markets shake off Fed order

By Cristal Cody

Tupelo, Miss., Feb. 1 – AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. topped the tape on Thursday in the distressed secondary market after S&P Global Ratings dropped it to selective default.

The company’s bonds climbed about 1½ points to over 2½ points on over $18 million of trading by the end of the session.

AMC’s 10% senior secured second-lien notes due 2026 (Caa3/D) led the rally and went out over 2½ points higher.

Meanwhile, Ardagh Group SA’s paper has been among active distressed names with the paper shedding around 4 points in the last two sessions, sources said.

ARD Finance SA’s 6½% subordinated notes due 2027 (Caa3/CCC+) dropped over 2 points on Thursday.

Market tone swung higher over the session as stock indices shook off the Federal Reserve’s decision to leave rates unchanged.

“It was up, everything was,” a trader said. “The HYG was up 44 cents, junk was up 48 cents.”

The iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF finished 44 cents, or 0.58%, higher at $77.54.

Stock indices ended better after sliding on Wednesday. The S&P 500 index closed up 1.25% after dropping 1.61% the previous day.

The CBOE Volatility index was down 3.28% at 13.88.

Treasury yields dropped 8 basis points to 11 bps by the close. The benchmark 10-year note yield fell 10 bps to 3.86% following a 9 bps drop in the prior session.

Market tone was weak on Wednesday after the Fed maintained the target range for the Federal Funds rate at 5¼% to 5½%.

“Chair [Jerome] Powell leaned firmly against the prospect of a March rate cut in his January post-FOMC press conference, but signaled that the committee was nearing the confidence level necessary to justify the start of the cutting cycle,” according to a BNP Paribas SA research note on Thursday. “We view the January FOMC communications as reinforcing our expectation of the first rate cut coming in May, followed by a steady cadence of cuts through year-end.”

BNP expects rate cuts of 25 bps per meeting.

AMC bonds jump

AMC’s 10% senior secured second-lien notes due 2026 (Caa3/D) climbed over 2½ points to hit 80 bid by the close on Thursday, a source said.

Volume was over $9.6 million.

AMC’s 7½% senior secured first-lien notes due 2029 (Caa1/B-) also picked up 1½ points to a quote of 66 bid on over $9 million of trading.

S&P said Wednesday it downgraded AMC to SD from CCC+ and the 10% issue to default from CCC- after the issuer completed a series of exchanges of the notes that it considers distressed and tantamount to a default.

AMC exchanged $123 million of the 10%/12% cash/PIK second-lien notes for approximately 16.7 million shares of its class A common stock during the fourth quarter.

The Leawood, Kan.-based movie theater company also repurchased $50 million of the bonds over the quarter at an average discount of around 20%.

Ardagh declines

Ardagh Group’s paper has been on the decline over the last two sessions, market sources said Thursday.

ARD Finance’s 6½% subordinated notes due 2027 (Caa3/CCC+) dropped 2 1/8 points to head out at 44½ bid and carrying a yield of over 36%.

Trading totaled $3.9 million over the session.

On Wednesday, the bonds were down more than 2 points on a 46 handle.

On Monday, Ardagh announced a 10-year renewable energy agreement in Sweden to offset its greenhouse gas emissions and earlier in January reported plans of a renewable energy solar project in California set to be completed this year.

The Luxembourg-based glass and metal packaging producer will announce fourth-quarter and full-year 2023 results on Feb. 22.

Distressed index slips

S&P U.S. High Yield Corporate Distressed Bond index one-day total returns declined midweek back into the negative space. Returns were minus 0.14% on Wednesday, down from 0.32% on Tuesday but still improved from negative 0.94% on Monday.

Month-to-date total returns ended January at minus 2.15%, much weaker than the 7.99% of distressed returns posted in January 2023.

Quarter- and year-to-date total return losses were improved on Wednesday at negative 2.15%, up from minus 2.20% on Tuesday and negative 2.33% at the week’s start.


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