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Published on 7/2/2020 in the Prospect News Investment Grade Daily.

Steady post-holiday high-grade supply eyed; corporate inflows climb; Takeda, Mondelez firm

By Cristal Cody

Tupelo, Miss., July 2 – The investment-grade primary market remained quiet ahead of the early close on Thursday with steady issuance expected to resume after the Independence Day holiday.

The financial markets closed at 2 p.m. ET and will reopen on Monday.

Investment-grade issuers priced about $15 billion of bonds in the first two sessions of the week, in line with the $10 billion to $15 billion of volume expected by market participants.

Issuance was led by Takeda Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.’s $7 billion four-part offering of senior notes (Baa2/BBB+/) that priced on Monday.

Looking ahead to deal action after the holiday, about $20 billion to $25 billion of volume is expected, according to syndicate sources.

Meanwhile, investment-grade corporate fund inflows jumped to $7.07 billion for the past week ended Wednesday from $4.26 billion in the prior week, according to Refinitive Lipper US Fund Flows.

Looking at high-grade bond fund and ETF inflows for corporate bonds, agencies, Treasuries and mortgages inflows, inflows remained strong for the past week through Tuesday, according to a BofA Securities, Inc. research note.

U.S. investment-grade bond fund and ETF inflows totaled $8.01 billion for the past week, following a $12.83 billion inflow in the prior full week.

High-grade inflows were “broad-based” over the short week and included $4.92 billion for ETFs, $3.09 billion for funds, $2.93 billion for short-term and $5.09 billion for excluding short-term inflows, the BofA note said.

Elsewhere, Labor Department data released early in the day surprised to the upside.

The June non-farm payroll report showed 4.8 million jobs were added over the month, higher than the 3.06 million gain forecast by market analysts.

The unemployment rate fell from 13.3% to 11.1% in June, better than the 12.5% unemployment rate forecast.

Market tone was mostly steady over the session.

The iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF edged up 0.24% to 135.05.

The PIMCO Investment Grade Corporate Bond index softened 0.13% to close at 114.31.

Investment-grade credit spreads ended the short week about 7 basis points tighter.

The Markit CDX North American Investment Grade 33 index improved nearly 1 bp on Thursday to a spread of 74 bps.

New issues tighten

New issues priced this week were seen trading tighter than issuance in the secondary market.

Takeda Pharmaceutical’s $7 billion of senior notes (Baa2/BBB+/) priced in four tranches on Monday improved about 5 bps to 12 bps, a source said.

The company’s 2.05% notes due March 31, 2030 firmed to 136 bps bid.

The notes were priced in a $2.5 billion tranche at a spread of Treasuries plus 145 bps.

Initial price talk was in the 175 bps spread area with guidance firmed to the 150 bps area, plus or minus 5 bps.

Takeda’s 3.025% notes due July 9, 2040 came in to 153 bps bid.

The $1.5 billion tranche of 20-year notes priced at a spread of 165 bps over Treasuries.

Guidance on the notes was at the 170 bps area, plus or minus 5 bps, compared to initial talk in the 195 bps area.

Mondelez International, Inc.’s new 0.625% notes due July 1, 2022 (Baa1/BBB/) tightened about 3 bps in the secondary market, a source said.

The company sold $1 billion of the notes on Tuesday at a spread of 48 bps over Treasuries.

Initial guidance was at the 80 bps to 85 bps spread area.


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