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Published on 1/26/2018 in the Prospect News Investment Grade Daily.

Morning Commentary: CIBC plans to tap market; high-grade inflows up; secondary trading thins

By Cristal Cody

Tupelo, Miss., Jan. 26 – Friday deal action is likely in the high-grade market with a senior note offering on deck from Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce.

The Toronto-based financial institution is marketing a U.S. dollar-denominated floating-rate issue.

Supply has been light over the week with less than $8 billion of corporate issuance and $8 billion of SSA bond volume through early Friday.

Elsewhere, investment-grade inflows climbed on the week.

“Inflows to U.S.-domiciled fixed income funds and ETFs accelerated to $5.71 [billion] during the week ended January 24th, 2018 from $1.9 [billion] the week before, driven by a significant improvement in high grade,” Yunyi Zhang, an analyst with BofA Merrill Lynch, said in a research note, citing fund flow data from BofA Merrill Lynch and EPFR Global Co.

U.S. high-grade funds and ETF inflows rebounded to $4.46 billion, the strongest week since the week ended Nov. 1, 2017, from $2 billion in the previous week, according to the note.

“The improvement was across the board,” Zhang said. “Inflows more than double for not only HG funds to $3.45 [billion] from $1.51 [billion], but also HG ETFs to $1.01 [billion] from $0.49 [billion] a week earlier. Short-term HG inflows jumped to $1.07 [billion] from $0.01 [billion], and outside-of-short-term HG inflows also accelerated to $3.4 [billion] from $2 [billion] the prior week.”

CIBC stable

In other activity, the secondary market has been active over the week, though trading declined during Thursday’s session with $19.67 billion of investment-grade bonds traded, according to Trace data.

Trading volume hit $23.09 billion on Wednesday, compared to $20.56 billion on Tuesday and $17.87 billion on Monday.

CIBC’s 1.6% senior notes due Sept. 6, 2019 (A1/A+/AA-) traded over the morning mostly unchanged at 98.76, a source said.

The bank sold $1 billion of the notes at 99.982 to yield 1.606%, or 70 basis points over Treasuries, on Aug. 29, 2016.

CIBC’s most recent dollar-denominated issuance of 2.35% covered bonds due July 27, 2022 have not been been active in the secondary market since issuance, according to a source. The bonds were last seen trading in the first week of January at 98.67.

The bank sold $1.75 billion of the bonds on July 20 at a spread of Treasuries plus 55.15 bps.


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