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Published on 8/23/2022 in the Prospect News Bank Loan Daily, Prospect News Distressed Debt Daily and Prospect News High Yield Daily.

S&P hikes GEO Group

S&P said it hiked the GEO Group Inc.’s issuer rating to B from SD, Selective Default, the rating on the outstanding secured term loan due March 2024 to BB- from D reflecting very high (90%-100%; rounded estimate: 95%) recovery in default, and the ratings on all the unsecured notes to CCC+ from D reflecting negligible (0%-10%; rounded estimate: 0%) recovery.

Additionally, the agency finalized the preliminary BB- issue-level and 1 recovery ratings on the new first-lien facilities and the preliminary B issue-level and 3 recovery ratings on the new second-lien notes.

“The B issuer credit rating reflects significant improvement in GEO's near-term liquidity position following the debt exchange. Under GEO's new capital structure, the company's near-term debt maturity burden over the next 24 months is reduced to about $300 million, from more than $2 billion. We forecast the company will manage these maturities with a healthy liquidity buffer of at least $200 million even if it executes no further asset sales,” S&P said in a press release.

The agency said it estimates gross adjusted leverage will remain in the low-5x range through 2023 with FOCF to debt of around 5% despite higher interest expense and a modest decline in earnings.

The outlook is stable.


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