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Published on 5/24/2013 in the Prospect News High Yield Daily.

Fund flows strong; EPFR reports $1.1 billion inflow in latest week

By Paul Deckelman

New York, May 24 - The flow of funds into high-yield mutual funds and exchange-traded funds - a key barometer of overall junk market liquidity trends - remained strong this week, major fund-tracking services said, as investors continued to put their dollars to work there in order to gain bigger returns in the current relatively low-interest-rate environment.

One of the services, EPFR Global, of Cambridge, Mass., told Prospect News on Friday morning that the funds it tracks saw a net inflow of $1.1 billion in the week ended Wednesday.

It was the sixth consecutive weekly inflow reported by EPFR and represents a considerable improvement over the meager $94 million which the service reported the previous week, ended May 15. During that six-week stretch, inflows have totaled about $7.7 billion, according to a Prospect News analysis of the company's data.

On a year-to-date basis, EPFR has now seen 18 weeks of inflows, versus just three weeks of outflows since the start of 2013, with a cumulative net inflow during that time frame of some $16.74 billion, according to the analysis.

On Thursday evening, the rival AMG Data Services reported that during the week ended Wednesday, $376 million more came into those funds than left them. It was a solid comeback following the $402.8 million outflow seen the week before, ended May 15, which had been the first such cash loss recorded after four consecutive weeks of inflows before that totaling about $2.02 billion, according to a Prospect News analysis of the figures from Arcata, Calif.-based AMG, a unit of the Lipper analytics division of Thomson Reuters Corp.

Twenty-one weeks into the year, 2013 net inflows as reported by Lipper so far have amounted to about $3.1 billion, according to the analysis. There have now been 14 inflows and seven outflows reported by Lipper so far this year.

AMG/Lipper and EPFR differ in their methodologies - EPFR includes non-U.S.-domiciled funds among those it tracks, while AMG/Lipper's focus is strictly domestic - but their trends generally point in the same direction, even though their figures can vary widely from one another for that reason.

Cumulative fund-flow estimates, whether from EPFR or from AMG/Lipper, may be revised upward or downward or be rounded off and could include unannounced revisions and adjustments to figures from prior weeks.

The continued flow of fresh cash into junk - and the mutual funds and ETFs represent but a small, though very observable and quantifiable percentage of the total amount of investor money coming into or leaving the junk market - has been seen by analysts as a key element behind the high-yield secondary sphere's strong performance last year versus other fixed-income asset classes and its record active new-deal pace. That pace easily topped the $350 billion mark.


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