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Published on 7/7/2005 in the Prospect News Bank Loan Daily, Prospect News Convertibles Daily and Prospect News High Yield Daily.

Moody's puts GM, GMAC on review

Moody's Investors Service said it has put General Motors Corp.'s Baa3 long-term rating and Prime-3 short-term rating and General Motors Acceptance Corp.'s Baa2 long-term rating and Prime-2 short-term rating under review for possible downgrade.

Moody's said its action was prompted by its concern that escalating incentives, shifting consumer preference to more fuel efficient vehicles, and long-term pressure on GM's U.S. market share will make it increasingly difficult for the company to deliver credit metrics that are consistent with the Baa3 rating by year-end 2007.

The metrics include: EBITA margins that approximate 4%; fixed charge coverage in the 3.5 to 4.0 times range; and free cash flow to total lease and pension adjusted debt of more than 15%.

In particular, GM's performance could be limited by escalating competitive and cost pressures that could cause GM's rate of automotive cash burn for 2005 to materially exceed the $2 billion level upon which the Baa3 rating was based, even if the company achieves relatively sizable reductions in health care costs; the difficulty of maintaining recent market share gains as competitors respond to the "You Pay What We Pay" promotion; continued market share erosion that might prompt material restructuring charges; the introduction of T900 truck/SUV models in early 2006 into a market which has seen consumer preference shift toward smaller, more fuel efficient vehicles; and the strategic alternatives that might be pursued to ensure the liquidity and funding competitiveness of GMAC, which might reduce access to dividends from the finance operations.


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