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Published on 5/26/2022 in the Prospect News Distressed Debt Daily and Prospect News Emerging Markets Daily.

Moody's turns Egypt outlook to negative

Moody's Investors Service said it changed the government of Egypt’s outlook to negative from stable and affirmed the long-term foreign- and local-currency issuer ratings at B2. Moody's also affirmed Egypt's foreign-currency senior unsecured ratings at B2, and its foreign-currency senior unsecured medium-term note program rating at (P)B2.

“The negative outlook reflects the rising downside risks to the sovereign's external shock absorption capacity in light of a significant narrowing in the foreign-exchange reserve buffer to meet upcoming external debt-service payments.

“While the economy's external position remains supported by significant financial commitments pledged by Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) oil-exporting sovereigns and the prospect of a new IMF program, tightening global financing conditions increase the risk of weaker recurrent inflows than Moody's currently anticipates to shore up Egypt's external position,” the agency said in a press release.


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