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Published on 11/13/2007 in the Prospect News Emerging Markets Daily.

Fitch: Ecuador position manageable

Fitch Ratings said in a report that while Ecuador's issuer default rating of CCC indicates that default is a real possibility over the rating horizon, it believes at this time that the government's manageable financial position provides a sufficient counterbalance to Ecuador's key credit weakness, which is its willingness to pay.

"Fitch believes that it is not in the government's short-term interest to introduce volatility, or a confidence crisis, into the economy stemming from a default, which could hurt its electoral prospects," according to Theresa Paiz-Fredel, senior director in Fitch's Latin America sovereign group.

Fitch said its recent rating action on Ecuador is due to a perceived reduction in risk of a potential distressed debt exchange in the near term.


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