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Published on 1/30/2023 in the Prospect News Emerging Markets Daily.

S&P turns Rwanda outlook to stable

S&P said it revised its outlook for Rwanda to stable from negative and affirmed its B+ ratings.

“Rwanda's economy rebounded sharply in 2021-2022, and we expect it to maintain strong growth, despite choppy economic trends globally. We estimate economic growth of 8.2% in 2022, well above our prior expectation of 5.5%. In addition, we forecast average annual growth of 7.1% during 2023-2026. The country has also pursued fiscal consolidation, underpinned by a policy coordination instrument (PCI) program from the IMF. These factors, combined with inflows of concessional financing, should enable Rwanda to reduce its fiscal imbalances further through 2026,” the agency said in a statement.

S&P noted that despite the central bank raising interest rates by 200 basis points last year, inflation remains high and does not forecast it dropping to the 2%-8% rate until 2024.


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