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Published on 3/10/2017 in the Prospect News Emerging Markets Daily.

Moody’s revises Croatia to stable

Moody's Investors Service said it changed Croatia's outlook to stable from negative and affirmed its Ba2 senior unsecured bond and Ba2 long-term issuer ratings.

Moody’s said the key drivers for changing the outlook to stable and affirming the Ba2 rating are: (a) Croatia's stronger than expected medium-term economic growth following its emergence from a six-year recession in 2015, with growth of around 2.5% on average in coming years; (b) the reversal in the upward trajectory of Croatia's public sector debt burden as a result of improved growth; (c) in spite of these positive economic and fiscal trends, the rating continues to be constrained at the Ba2 level by structural weaknesses in Croatia's economy in the absence of a structural reform agenda.

Croatia's long-term and short-term foreign-currency bond ceilings are unchanged at Baa3/P-3, the long-term foreign-currency deposit ceiling remain unchanged at Ba3. The short-term foreign-currency deposit ceiling remains at Not Prime (NP) and the local-currency bond and deposit country ceilings are unchanged at Baa1.


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