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Published on 10/3/2005 in the Prospect News High Yield Daily.

Analysis of high yield issuance for year to date through September

Total issuance: $78.436 billion in 305 deals

Columns are amounts in billions of dollars, count of deals and percentage by dollar value.

Yield

1/20052/20053/20054/20055/20056/20057/20058/20059/2005
Less than 6% 00.4960.200 0 00.2980.150 00.895
6%-6.99%1.4492.8963.0460.6950.6723.6121.9912.3141.873
7%-7.99%3.6822.1672.8451.0270.3683.1730.6751.2502.501
8%-8.99%3.6270.3711.1300.7980.1751.2601.2251.1482.821
9%-9.99%1.7521.8120.4151.0680.2990.9791.9001.4930.993
10%-10.99%0.4720.2500.7400.4710.1230.9161.1510.0760.837
11% and higher0.1500.1600.3050.8170.7500.5220.2700.1190.521
Floater1.2331.0541.0150.5800.1481.8580.5480.6821.123
Total12.3649.2069.6965.4572.53612.6197.9107.08111.567
Q1/2005CountQ2/2005CountQ3/2005CountTotalCountShare
Less than 6%0.69630.29811.04632.04072.60%
6%-6.99%7.392284.980156.1782118.5496423.65%
7%-7.99%8.694264.568184.4262117.6876522.55%
8%-8.99%5.128162.234105.1941612.5564216.01%
9%-9.99%3.978172.346124.3861110.7104013.65%
10%-10.99%1.46371.51082.06565.037216.42%
11% and higher0.61592.089140.91063.614294.61%
Floater3.302142.586112.354128.2433710.51%
Total31.26612020.6118926.5589678.436305100.00%
Versus Talk
1/20052/20053/20054/20055/20056/20057/20058/20059/2005
Lower0.9200.4750.074 0 00.5480.200 00.824
Low end2.0083.5851.2630.6400.8481.4584.5912.1030.853
Middle3.1922.4064.7941.0680.4924.3762.1263.2663.899
High end3.5351.0351.6751.7170.7812.466 00.7211.517
Higher2.1151.1180.9711.9760.2851.912 00.2893.572
NA0.5930.5870.9190.0560.1301.8570.9930.7020.901
Total12.3649.2069.6965.4572.53612.6197.9107.08111.567
Q1/2005CountQ2/2005CountQ3/2005CountTotalCountShare
Lower1.46960.54831.02443.041133.88%
Low end6.857232.945157.5482317.3506122.12%
Middle10.392375.936219.2912925.6208732.66%
High end6.245214.965182.238913.4494817.15%
Higher4.205164.173163.8611512.2394715.60%
NA2.099172.042162.596166.738498.59%
Total31.26612020.6118926.5589678.436305100.00%
Upsized?
1/20052/20053/20054/20055/20056/20057/20058/20059/2005
Yes2.5163.1152.8540.8560.3503.2145.3952.3494.795
No9.2495.3926.4033.4321.1948.9142.5153.8015.312
Downsized0.6000.7000.4391.1690.9920.491 00.9311.459
Total12.3649.2069.6965.4572.53612.6197.9107.08111.567
Q1/2005CountQ2/2005CountQ3/2005CountTotalCountShare
Yes8.484264.4191512.5393425.4437532.44%
No21.0438813.5405911.6295546.21220258.92%
Downsized1.73962.652152.39076.781288.65%
Total31.26612020.6118926.5589678.436305100.00%
Quick Sale?
1/20052/20053/20054/20055/20056/20057/20058/20059/2005
Yes3.3933.3092.9311.1660.4977.1312.3914.0132.125
No8.9715.8986.7644.2912.0395.4885.5193.0689.441
Total12.3649.2069.6965.4572.53612.6197.9107.08111.567
Q1/2005CountQ2/2005CountQ3/2005CountTotalCountShare
Yes9.634438.794288.5293126.95710234.37%
No21.6337711.8186118.0296551.47920365.63%
Total31.26612020.6118926.5589678.436305100.00%
Add on?
1/20052/20053/20054/20055/20056/20057/20058/20059/2005
Yes1.3820.3280.5060.156 01.2690.0751.1510.455
No10.9828.8789.1895.3012.53611.3507.8355.93011.112
Total12.3649.2069.6965.4572.53612.6197.9107.08111.567
Q1/2005CountQ2/2005CountQ3/2005CountTotalCountShare
Yes2.217161.425111.681145.322416.79%
No29.05010419.1877824.8778273.11326493.21%
Total31.26612020.6118926.5589678.436305100.00%
Seniority
1/20052/20053/20054/20055/20056/20057/20058/20059/2005
senior secured0.5270.6391.3050.9610.1482.6510.4250.5370.596
secured 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.090 0
senior8.2795.9376.3654.0232.2888.7075.2244.5417.556
senior subordinated3.5582.6312.0260.4720.1001.2602.2611.9132.814
subordinated 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.600
Total12.3649.2069.6965.4572.53612.6197.9107.08111.567
Q1/2005CountQ2/2005CountQ3/2005CountTotalCountShare
senior secured2.471153.761181.558107.790439.93%
secured 00 000.09010.09010.11%
senior20.5817515.0186317.3225952.92019767.47%
senior subordinated8.215301.83286.9882417.0356221.72%
subordinated 00 000.60020.60020.76%
Total31.26612020.6118926.5589678.436305100.00%
Moody's Rating
1/20052/20053/20054/20055/20056/20057/20058/20059/2005
Ba1 00.4960.6930.1970.2970.7470.5500.2950.600
Ba20.5960.8300.149 00.2002.3371.0501.2202.295
Ba30.8241.2711.5971.2830.3502.5240.9910.9942.465
B14.6931.3501.5780.3250.5631.8050.8200.7041.727
B21.2801.1071.9011.5930.3150.9630.2501.6262.242
B32.9152.6381.8321.5610.5082.4602.8501.1501.326
Caa11.8940.9840.7750.3000.1230.2931.1511.0150.472
Caa20.0830.4760.6000.197 00.245 00.076 0
Caa3 0 00.380 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ca 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.150
NR0.0800.0550.190 00.1791.2450.248 00.290
Total12.3649.2069.6965.4572.53612.6197.9107.08111.567
Q1/2005CountQ2/2005CountQ3/2005CountTotalCountShare
Ba11.18931.24151.44553.876134.94%
Ba21.57562.53784.564158.6772911.06%
Ba33.692134.157144.4501212.2993915.68%
B17.621182.693123.2511513.5644517.29%
B24.288212.871134.1181511.2774914.38%
B37.385294.529245.3261717.2407021.98%
Caa13.653160.71762.638107.008328.93%
Caa21.15980.44220.07611.678112.14%
Caa30.3801 00 000.38010.48%
Ca 00 000.15010.15010.19%
NR0.32451.42450.53852.287152.92%
Total31.26612020.6118926.5589678.436305100.00%
Use of Proceeds
1/20052/20053/20054/20055/20056/20057/20058/20059/2005
Acquisition1.2350.1500.3451.2911.1080.7241.416 02.319
Capex 00.4230.130 0 00.040 00.0760.075
Dividend/recap0.5521.9330.2800.125 0 00.1480.7290.349
GCP0.6471.1760.6930.300 00.3230.0500.4910.700
LBO4.2831.4050.8851.4170.0300.7953.3000.7652.037
Redeem notes2.1312.1982.6361.3190.3492.4840.4500.8112.919
Refinance1.6100.3851.175 00.2604.3800.5201.0250.264
Repay bank debt0.5311.0262.7110.4820.2971.3310.1511.5440.400
Multiple/Other/NA1.3750.5100.8400.5220.4912.5401.8751.6402.504
Total12.3649.2069.6965.4572.53612.6197.9107.08111.567
Q1/2005CountQ2/2005CountQ3/2005CountTotalCountShare
Acquisition1.73073.124153.735108.5893210.95%
Capex0.55330.04010.15120.74460.95%
Dividend/recap2.765180.12511.22774.117265.25%
GCP2.51780.62331.24154.381165.59%
LBO6.573212.242146.1021314.9184819.02%
Redeem notes6.966244.153154.1801515.2985419.50%
Refinance3.170104.640141.80999.6193312.26%
Repay bank debt4.267182.110122.095128.4734210.80%
Multiple/Other/NA2.725113.554146.0192312.2984815.68%
Total31.26612020.6118926.5589678.436305100.00%
Industry Sector (by SIC code)
1/20052/20053/20054/20055/20056/20057/20058/20059/2005
Agriculture (0xxx) 00.223 0 00.1950.2250.100 0 0
Mining (1xxx)0.304 0 0 00.1500.600 0 0 0
Oil and gas (13xx) 0 00.5971.1930.1230.9130.2250.5941.450
Construction (15xx) 00.6450.349 00.2970.7960.0500.7950.472
Manufacturing (2xxx, 3xxx)4.5782.1802.6601.4710.5833.6872.5391.9221.430
Transportation (4xxx)0.3330.5250.8490.460 00.234 0 00.075
Communications (48xx)3.8261.5580.0740.675 03.7200.7210.9910.499
Electric, gas, sanitary services (49xx)0.1000.1000.800 00.2000.461 00.7150.174
Wholesale (5xxx)1.3230.8680.8330.4150.415 00.0250.3673.782
Finance, insurance, real estate (6xxx)0.1500.4800.2500.6470.3500.2290.5000.0641.581
Services (7xxx)0.7041.6481.3100.5960.1931.5353.5501.4831.480
Health services (8xxx)1.0470.9801.975 00.0300.2200.2000.1500.622
Total12.3649.2069.6965.4572.53612.6197.9107.08111.567
Q1/2005CountQ2/2005CountQ3/2005CountTotalCountShare
Agriculture (0xxx)0.22310.42020.10010.74340.95%
Mining (1xxx)0.30420.7502 001.05441.34%
Oil and gas (13xx)0.59732.229102.26975.095206.50%
Construction (15xx)0.99441.09351.31783.404174.34%
Manufacturing (2xxx, 3xxx)9.417365.741285.8922221.0508626.83%
Transportation (4xxx)1.70780.69430.07512.476123.16%
Communications (48xx)5.457154.395122.211912.0633615.38%
Electric, gas, sanitary services (49xx)1.00040.66130.88952.550123.25%
Wholesale (5xxx)3.024190.83034.174148.0283610.24%
Finance, insurance, real estate (6xxx)0.88031.22582.14584.250195.42%
Services (7xxx)3.662172.324116.5131612.4984415.93%
Health services (8xxx)4.00280.25020.97255.224156.66%
Total31.26612020.6118926.5589678.436305100.00%
Criteria

* The tables include all underwritten dollar-denominated offerings sold in the U.S. as public or Rule 144A deals reported to Prospect News.

* Offerings are included in the time period in which they price.

* Issues maturing in 397 days or less are excluded.

* Convertibles, trust preferreds, capital securities and preferred stock are excluded.

* Fixed-rate medium-term notes with a face value above $100 million are included. All other MTNs are excluded.

* Deals rated investment-grade by either Standard & Poor's or Moody's Investors Service are excluded but deals not rated by both are included.

* Amounts are based on the total sales price (face amount multiplied by the offering price

* Units made up of a bond and a warrant are included; other units are excluded.

* Sovereign issues are excluded.

* Each tranche is counted as a separate deal.

* Passthroughs, collateral trust and equipment trust certificates are included.


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